灌篮高手
Flu, RSV starting to circulate but cases remain lower than last year: CDC_我的网站
一 |
本报记者 倪 浩本周五或举行的美国铁路工人大罢工，可能会使美国近1/3货运陷入停顿，也将再次考验美国大宗商品的供应链，继续推高美国高企的通胀率。 Influenza and other respiratory viruses are starting to circulate but so far remain lower than this time last year, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.As of Oct. 7, CDC's FluView weekly report showed that the percent of flu cases were relatively unchanged, rising about 1% compared to the week prior.In that same timeframe, 1,127 people were hospitalized with influenza, up from 1,050 people the week prior. About 35% of all flu hospitalizations were reported in the southeast of the U.S., which experts say is a typical trend at the start of the flu season.Most of the flu cases detected were Influenza A and the most common subtype was Influenza A(H1N1), which is the strain of the virus that the flu vaccine usually offers better protection from, according to the CDC.The percent of all reported respiratory viruses circulating over the past week have been relatively unchanged nationally, but there is regional variability. Region 9 -- made up of Arizona, California, Hawaii, and Nevada -- was the only region that saw an increase.Still, the numbers in all regions of the U.S. remain below their baseline and outpatient respiratory illness activity is either minimal or low throughout most of the U.S., according to the CDC.Alaska is the only state that is currently experiencing moderate respiratory illness activity. Influenza typically circulates this time of year and peaks between December and February for most of the U.S., according to the CDC.Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) numbers are on the rise and are projected to increase further, according to the CDC's weekly surveillance. RSV typically circulates from October to April, according to the CDC.
How to prepare for this year's cold and flu season
This time last year, the U.S. was bracing for a "tripledemic" amid rising cases of COVID-19, influenza and RSV after the seasons became more unpredictable during the COVID-19 pandemic.Dr. John Brownstein, chief innovation officer at Boston Children's Hospital and an ABC News contributor, said these early cases are behaving in a more predictable pattern."The data is pointing to something a little bit more par for the course. We're seeing the early rise of RSV and flu at a time when you'd expect it," Brownstein said.Brownstein, however, cautioned that cases of respiratory viruses are expected to increase further and higher levels still have potential to strain health systems and cause severe illnesses, Brownstein said."I think there's still concern around the threat of all three respiratory viruses plus, of course, the rest of the seasonal mix [of viral illnesses], wreaking havoc on our health systems," he said.Experts are hopeful that new and updated immunizations that protect against COVID-19, influenza and RSV will stave off the strain on health care systems.These viruses may only cause mild illness for many people, but young babies, pregnant women, people who are immunocompromised and the elderly are at highest risk for severe disease.Everyone 6 months and older is eligible for an updated COVID-19 shot and the annual flu vaccine.The Department of Health and Human Services told ABC News that, so far, more than 7 million updated COVID-19 shots have been administered. The CDC recommends getting the COVID-19 and flu vaccines by the end of October and encourages both to be given at the same time.Adults who are 60 years and older can get an RSV vaccine and pregnant women who are in their third trimester can get an RSV shot that provides protection against RSV to their baby for the first 6 months of life.Babies less than 8 months old who are born to mothers who did not get an RSV vaccine during pregnancy can get a protective shot called nirsevimab that offers about five months of protection against RSV.Nirsevimab is a one-dose shot made of monoclonal antibodies, which are proteins manufactured in a lab and mimic the antibodies the body naturally creates when fighting an infection. This is different than a vaccine, which activates the immune system.Brownstein said the pandemic has helped make many health systems better prepared for seasonal spikes in respiratory viruses and is hopeful that people are more motivated to stay up to date on shots that are available for protection and prevention this respiratory virus season."Now is really the time to get the protection advanced of the seasons really heating up," Brownstein said.Dr. Jade A Cobern, M.D., M.P.H, a licensed and practicing physician, is a member of the ABC News Medical Unit.。业界也在担忧，罢工的“溢出效应”是否会加重已遭受疫情和俄乌冲突双重冲击的全球大宗商品市场，甚至波及中国。根据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）13日报道，面对美国30年来第一次全国铁路工人罢工，美国企业正日益陷入焦虑中，因为一旦罢工开始，将意味着美国更多的货架空置、工厂关闭，消费品的价格也势必上涨。彭博社则称，全美工业品供应链和农业商品运输都依赖铁路。
二 | 如果铁路运输中断，美国经济每天的损失将高达20亿美元。美国铁路协会在一份报告中预测了罢工可能带来的影响，报告称，严重依赖铁路运输其产品的行业包括电子商务、农业、化工、汽车、建筑和煤炭。如果不采取行动，每天可能会导致7000多列火车停运，并引发零售品短缺、制造业大范围停工和失业。
三 | 中国社科院美国研究所研究员吕祥接受《环球时报》记者采访时分析认为，周五美国铁路工人的罢工大概率会进行，但很可能不是全国性的。
四 | 罢工所带来的影响要取决于罢工规模的大小。
五 | 不过吕祥也认为，铁路运输已网络化，一个地方罢工也会带来全局性影响，这无疑对美国抑制通胀产生不利，加大美联储大幅度加息的可能。美元指数上涨，迫使全球货币贬值，势必影响人民币的汇率。美国通胀上升，美元收紧，会削弱美国的市场需求，影响中国对美国的出口，增加中国外贸压力。另外，美国是全球能源和粮食重要的出口大国，罢工带来的运输不畅，将加剧全球能源及粮食价格的波动。中钢经济研究院首席研究员胡麒牧告诉《环球时报》记者，与能源相比，中美之间更重要的是粮食贸易，主要是大豆，而美国铁路工人大罢工有可能会对此产生影响。胡麒牧认为，美国是全球重要的粮食出口国，罢工可能会带来全球粮食价格的波动。
六 | 不过，胡麒牧表示，这种影响产生在供应环节，而非生产端，因此这种影响将是局部的、短期的。吕祥也认为，鉴于美国铁路工人罢工可能带来的复杂深远的影响，拜登政府势必采取多种措施，以阻止这种情况的发生。
七 |
Current article:http://hv8.cuntoujuefourantapai.cfd/vpj/20260826/6785.html
Published on:16:45:39
